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Saturday, January 24, 2015

Red flag warnings its time to Bug Out

This is an excerpt from the Prepper Handbook by JR Ray on Amazon ($4.99), and our most popular post. You can download their free e-reader and read it on your computer, smart phone or pad. You can also order an electronic copy of this Prepper Handbook Blog on Amazon.

Go home, Bug Out or GOOD to a safe retreat when:
Mass Migrations have historically not gone well with traffic congestion, insufficient food and resources, disease, death, looting and violence. So leaving early is important. The further away your retreat is, the more critical this becomes. On the other hand, if your retreat is half way across the country, you can’t afford a lot of false alarms. So here is a list of potential red flag warnings that it may be time to head out. You should fine tune this list to your satisfaction.

Cars, Communications, Cell Phones, Radios, Computers, TV’s and other electronics don’t work. Transformers on fire! Massive power outage. (Solar Flare, EMP or Nuke attack)
You are not in a polar region of the planet and see an Aurora Borealis or norther lights special effect. (Solar Flare, Mass Coronal Ejection, EMP or Nuke attack)
The National Guard is called out in your town, an adjoining town or in your state and more than 1 adjoining state.
The President is assassinated.
The President, declares martial law, implements curfews &/or goes into hiding.
Center for Disease Control (CDC) or the World Health Organization (WHO) recommends quarantine (Pandemic) in any states or areas of the country.
The President or media is suggesting, considering or imposing quarantine. Note: Special quarantine procedures required when arriving at Retreat in pandemic conditions.
Doctors & nurses are being reported as “flu” fatalities during an epidemic.
Nurses or Police are not showing up to work for some reason
Massive or unusually heavy traffic observed, or large numbers of people on foot.
Looting and riots break out in more than 1 major city in your state. It may be too late in some cases when this happens. Down town areas, malls and grocery stores may be the worst areas. Some recommend staying to main roads, others say use backroads. As long as there is some civil authority in place and no quarantine, I would recommend main roads for sure during day light hours. Backroads if quarantines or curfews are in place, or main roads have very little traffic or traffic is not moving. Be careful about stopping your vehicle for any reason if civil authority is broke down. Especially not for civil authority imposters.
Several Banks fail in the same week; or are being mobbed by crowds wanting their money.
When is a terrorist attack (like 9/11), and especially if there are 2 or more mass killing events in your region. Stay away from places with numerous people including hospitals, schools, churches, malls, tall buildings and sporting events. Watch out for young Arab Muslim Men which are what most terrorist are. Note: Profiling is smart and should not be politically incorrect until someone is treated disrespectfully. Knnow what to do in an Active Shooter situation.
When war is declared or started at home or abroad.
Public transportation is closed down due to some crisis.
Schools, businesses (your job) or government offices in your area are closed due to some crisis
Stock market or banks are closed early due to financial runs or crashing for more than 2-3 days.
Sudden High inflation at Gas Stations – more than $1.00/gallon increase in a day.
Regional electricity &/or water is off for more than a few days.
Media spinning the story to mislead the public at the government’s instruction (propaganda), down playing problems so the public doesn’t panic. When you are hearing worse than the media reports on face book, texts or from your friends or on CB or Walkie Talkie (MURS) radios or short wave radios – go home. Note you must have your own Actionable Intelligence.

Keep your bug-out vehicle fuel tank full and have extra cans. Be ready to leave in 15 minutes. Once the “Event” seems to be happening, get all the cash you can from the ATM and as many nonperishable goods as you safely can; but stay away from crowds, mobs and looters. Getting away quickly is a function of preparation. Have your Bug Out Bag / Bug Out Pack, trunk, trailer or vehicle all packed and ready to go.

For some group members you may have meet up points where they gather and then proceed together. Last but not least, be packing a concealed weapon if legal.

Note that family hurricane evacuations normally took 4 hours, except for those who departed 2 hours later and the same trip took 26 hours including running out of fuel (every station was sold out) and getting 5 gallons from the Department of Transportation after sleeping on the side of the road over night... and some were not THAT lucky.

Bugging in or bugging out, either situation could end up lasting longer than expected WTSHTF so allow for extra supplies.

For additional information see the following links:

Blog Table of Contents

Beginners:

Beginner Prepper List

The Rule of 3 (set priorities by this)

US Government Recommended Preparations

Why we are ALL Preppers (for skeptics)

Investing for Preppers

Advanced Prepper Resource

Prepper Handbook Table of Contents

Oath Keepers, true protectors of freedom

Group Security Drills

Bees for Prepping

Food and water:

Building your food stores the right way

Getting Started (Water)

Green House for year-round food supply

Prepper Handbook

Gardening101 – Soil Basics

Best Prepper Chicken Breed

Bees for Prepping

Edible Wild Plants:

Chickweed & Hackberries

Natural Disaster Preparations

Natural & Man Made Disaster Preparations

Hurricanes

Firearms and security:

NRA Gun Safety Rules

Beginner Prepper List

Survival Pack

Passive Layered Security

Night Vision

Red flag warnings its time to Bug Out

Bug Out Warning

Investing for Preppers (Financial Security)

The Best Gun

Group Security Drills

Urban Survival Perspective

Urban Survival Plan

Shelter:

Concrete Bunker Plans

Solar Power System

Wilderness Survival:

Survival Pack (Security Patrol or Bug Out pack)

Wilderness Survival Pack (Video)

Wilderness Survival

Wednesday, November 25, 2020

Ammo Inventory Target

With two major ammo shortages in 11 years (2009 - 2020), it raises the question of how much Ammo should I have?

The first shortage was in 2019 when the Obama Administration made a massive government purchase buying more ammo for a Social Security Investigator than a Soldier in the Army uses in a year. Perhaps they were preparing to quell an uprising by the people.

This second one was driven by massive consumer buying due to the violence in large cities, and the fear of a Civil War driven in part by the 2020 US Presidential Election with record numbers of mail in ballots being sent out and hundreds of voter fraud cases documented and no telling how many were not caught.

During this second Ammo shortage, ammo prices doubled and in some cases tripled. Think about how much more ammo you could have bought if you and spent the same dollars a year ago. Think about how tight the ammo supply would be if the SHTF.

You can't have too much Ammo, but what are some good amounts to have?

Here is how we answer this question.

First we consider how many guns do we need to provide ammo for? More guns = more ammo.
How long do you want your ammo supply to last? A few hours? A few days, weeks, months?

Consuming Ammo under the following scenarios, you can see that we can use a lot in an hour.

Here is how long 1,000 rounds of Ammo will last you:

Think about this... the Light Combat firing rate is BANG....Thousand one, thousand two, thousand three, thousand four, thousand five, BANG! This is 12 rounds / minute, so definitely not rapid fire or anything unreasonable. A thousand rounds of ammo will last 1.4 hours at this rate.

So this raises the question, how long do you want your Ammo Supply to last? Are you sitting down?

Yes, these numbers may seem large, and 8 hours per day is only an example and unlikely, but consider, this is what would be required for just one shooter. Imagine the Ammo consumption if you had several shooters.

Here is an example for 8 hours of shooting per WEEK.

Here is an example for 8 hours of shooting per Month.

Still big numbers, so I go back to my earlier statement, that you can't have too much ammo. In a severe economic melt down, 8 hours per day may be realistic early on, but over time dropping to 8 hours per month or even less in time.

One point I would add: Well in to a SHTF Event, there will be plenty of guns available in the hands of the dead, who ran out of ammo. So consider investing in more ammo as opposed to more guns, once you have a gun or two for each person in your family/group.

So here are some suggested ammo inventory numbers:

The number is higher on 22 caliber rifles, as that ammo is cheap, can be used to economically train new shooters and hunt small game, but also lay down heavy cover fire.

The numbers are lower on Revolvers & Bolt Actions, which fire & reload slower than Semi-Autos.

Shotguns are higher due to the versatility of the different shot sizes ranging from Slugs, Buck Shot, #4, and #6 shot, all great for hunting different sizes of game animals.

Here is a reasonable price at which I would consider stocking up to have enough Ammo.

At these prices above, and the quantities higher above, here is what you might expect to invest, considering 10% Premium Personal Protection ammo and 90% target rounds.